2022 · Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (transcript via CNBC Buffett Archive)
Berkshire Hathaway 2022 Annual Meeting - Buffett + Munger Q&A (Final Munger Appearance, April 30, 2022)
At the 2022 Berkshire annual meeting - Munger's last before his death in November 2023 - he was characteristically blunt about what he refused to touch. He told the audience that he tried to avoid things that were evil, stupid, and made him look bad relative to someone else. The formulation compressed Munger's lifelong filter into a single line: a thing did not have to be all three to be avoided; any one of the three was sufficient. The investor who internalized the rule would refuse most of the propositions the market pressed on him. He sharpened the point with reference to crypto. Munger had been a public critic of cryptocurrency for years, and at the 2022 meeting he did not soften. He told the audience that he regarded crypto as a disgusting development and that those who promoted it were, in his view, either deluded or self-interested. He did not pretend that the asset class might be a legitimate innovation in payments or a hedge against monetary debasement; he treated it as a speculation that exploited the same incentive biases and psychology of crowds that had produced every previous speculative mania, and he refused to participate in any form. The avoidance principle, in Munger's telling, was not the absence of strategy. It was the strategy. The things he refused to touch - crypto, complex derivatives, structured products, financial engineering generally - defined the perimeter inside which he was willing to operate. The perimeter was deliberately narrow. The great investment decisions inside the perimeter - See's, Coca-Cola, BYD, Costco, the Japanese trading houses - had produced returns that an investor following the broader market could not have matched. The avoidance of the evil and the stupid was, paradoxically, what made the great investments possible.